The Combined Effect of Initial Error and Model Error on ENSO
Prediction Uncertainty Generated by the Zebiak-Cane Model
ZHAO Peng1, 2 , DUAN Wan-Suo1, * 
The Combined Effect of Initial Error and Model Error on ENSO Prediction Uncertainty Generated by the Zebiak-Cane Model |
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ZHAO Peng
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| Figure 2 Two types of the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation CNOP-type initial errors and resultant prediction errors with a lead time of 12 months. The CNOP consists of a SSTA and b thermocline depth anomaly components, and c the prediction errors are for SSTA. The left column shows type-1 CNOP initial error, and the right column shows type-2 CNOP initial error. The type-1 and -2 CNOPs are calculated with the initial time of January0 and January1 for the El Ni#cod#x000f1;o denoted by S1. |
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