Robustness of Precipitation Projections in China: Comparison between CMIP5 and CMIP3 Models
CHEN Huo-Po
, SUN Jian-Qi
, SUN Jian-Qi 
Robustness of Precipitation Projections in China: Comparison between CMIP5 and CMIP3 Models |
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CHEN Huo-Po
, SUN Jian-Qi |
| Figure 1 Coupled global climate model CGCM projections of changes in Chinese annual mean precipitation, relative to the mean of 1980-99 in the third phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project CMIP3 and 1986-2005 in the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project CMIP5, for historical forcings and different future emission scenarios. Each line represents a different CGCM for SRES B1, A1B, A2 in CMIP3, and Representative Concentrations Pathways RCP RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, RCP8.5 in CMIP5, with historical simulations shown in gray. The thick lines show the multi-model means for each scenario. The bars in each panel represent the range of projected changes for 2080-99 for different scenarios and the dots are the ensemble results. a 15 CGCMs in CMIP3; b FGOALS1.0g in CMIP3; c 20 CGCMs in CMIP5; and d six Chinese models in CMIP5. Units: %. |
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