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Has the Problem of a Permanent El Ni?o been Resolved for the Mid-Pliocene? |
ZHANG Zhong-Shi,YAN Qing,SU Jing-Zhi,GAO Yong-Qi |
Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, UniResearch, Bergen 5007, Norway; Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China;Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China; Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen 5006, Norway;Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China;Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China; Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen 5006, Norway |
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Abstract The mid-Pliocene, the most recent warm geological period, is thought to be indicative of the fate of the Earth’s climate under global warming. Earlier evidence has suggested that permanent El Ni?o-like conditions existed in the mid-Pliocene, though the concept of a permanent El Ni?o remains controversial. Here, the authors analyzed Ni?o3.4 SST in pre-industrial and mid-Pliocene simulations with the low-resolution version of the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM-L). The simulated mid-Pliocene Ni?o3.4 SST, with a smaller standard deviation, indicated that a weaker ENSO existed in the mid-Pliocene relative to the pre-industrial experiment. Compared with earlier modeling studies, our simulations show that the problem of ENSO’s standard deviations in the mid-Pliocene remains unresolved, although the mean and the period of ENSO in the mid-Pliocene have been resolved by earlier geological and modeling studies.
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Received: 16 April 2012
Revised: 21 May 2012
Accepted: 30 May 2012
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