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The Interannual Variations of Summer Precipitation in the Northern Indian Ocean Associated with ENSO |
YANG Ya-Li,DU Yan,WU Yan-Ling,HUANG Gang,ZHANG Yong-Sheng |
Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100049; State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510301, China;State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510301, China;Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100049; State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510301, China;Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment Research for Temperate East Asia (RCE-TEA), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China;Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), University of Maryland, USA |
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Abstract Using rainfall data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP), NOAA extended reconstruction sea surface temperature (ERSST), and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis, this study investigates the interannual variation of summer rainfall southwest of the Indian Peninsula and the northeastern Bay of Bengal associated with ENSO. The composite study indicates a decreased summer rainfall southwest of the Indian Peninsula and an increase in the northeastern Bay of Bengal during the developing phase, but vice versa during the decay phase of El Ni?o. Further regression analysis demonstrates that abnormal rainfall in the above two regions is controlled by different mechanisms. Southwest of the Indian Peninsula, the precipitation anomaly is related to local convection and water vapor flux in the decay phase of El Ni?o. The anomalous cyclone circulation at the lower troposphere helps strengthen rainfall. In the northeastern Bay of Bengal, the anomalous rainfall depends on the strength of the Indian southwest summer monsoon (ISSM). A strong/weak ISSM in the developing/decay phase of El Ni?o can bring more/less water vapor to strengthen/weaken the local summer precipitation.
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Received: 29 March 2012
Revised: 18 May 2012
Accepted: 28 May 2012
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