|
|
The Amplitude-Duration Relation of Observed El Nino Events |
Wu Yu-Jie,DUAN Wan-Suo |
State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029;Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049;State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029 |
|
|
Abstract The authors demonstrate that the El Ni?o events in the pre- and post-1976 periods show two amplitude-duration relations. One is that the stronger El Ni?o events have longer durations, which is robust for the moderate El Ni?o events; the other is that the stronger El Ni?o events have shorter durations but for strong El Ni?o events. By estimating the sign and amplitude of the nonlinear dynamical heating (NDH) anomalies, the authors illustrate that the NDH anomalies are negligible for moderate El Ni?o events but large for strong El Ni?o events. In particular, the large NDH anomalies for strong El Ni?o events are positive during the growth and mature phases, which favor warmer El Ni?o events. During the decay phase, however, the negative NDH anomalies start to arise and become increasingly significant with the evolution of the El Ni?o events, in which the negative NDH anomalies dampen the sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) and cause the El Ni?o events to reach the SST normal state earlier. This pattern suggests that the nonlinearity tends to increase the intensities of strong El Ni?o events and shorten their duration, which, together with the previous results showing a positive correlation between the strength of El Ni?o events and the significance of the effect of nonlinear advection on the events (especially the suppression of nonlinearity on the SSTA during the decay phase), shows that the strong El Ni?o events tend to have the amplitude-duration relation of the stronger El Ni?o events with shorter durations. This result also lends support to the assertion that moderate El Ni?o events possess the amplitude-duration relation of stronger El Ni?o events with longer durations.
|
Received: 01 April 2012
Revised: 17 April 2012
Accepted: 20 April 2012
|
|
|
|
|
|
|