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Revisiting Mid-Holocene Temperature over China Using PMIP3 Simulations |
TIAN Zhi-Ping1, JIANG Da-Bang1,2 |
1Climate Change Research Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China
2Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China |
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Abstract Using the simulations performed by 15 climate models under the latest protocol of the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) Phase 3 (PMIP3), the authors revisited the annual and seasonal temperature changes over China during the mid-Holocene. Similar to the previous results produced by PMIP Phase 1 (PMIP1) and 2 (PMIP2) models, 14 (15) of the 15 PMIP3 models reproduced colder annual (boreal winter and spring) temperature in response to mid-Holocene insolation changes, with an average cooling of 0.33 K (1.31 K and 1.58 K) over China. The mid-Holocene boreal summer (autumn) temperature increased in all (13) of the 15 PMIP3 models, with an average warming of 1.02 K (0.61 K) at the national scale. Those changes simulated by the PMIP3 models were similar to those from the PMIP2 simulations but generally weaker than those from the PMIP1 models. A considerable mismatch still existed between the simulated cooling by the PMIP3 models and the reconstructed warming for annual and winter temperatures over China during the mid-Holocene, as was also the case between the previous PMIP1/2 simulations and proxy data.
过去利用36个PMIP1/2模式试验数据研究发现,35个模式模拟全新世中期中国年和冬季偏冷,与多源地质记录显示的偏暖相反。为探究模式与记录不一致的原因,我们利用PMIP3试验中15个模式结果再次检查了全新世中期中国温度变化。结果表明:14(15)个模式模拟我国年平均(冬季)偏冷,这与PMIP1/2试验结果类似,PMIP3模式结果与地质记录仍然不一致,重建和模拟工作有待进一步开展。
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Received: 28 April 2015
Revised: 17 June 2015
Accepted: 26 June 2015
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Corresponding Author:
TIAN Zhi-Ping
E-mail: tianzhiping@mail.iap.ac.cn
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