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Statistical Characteristics of ENSO Events in CMIP5 Models |
RAO Jian1,2, REN Rong-Cai1 |
1State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China
2University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China |
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Abstract By applying the historical-run outputs from 24 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) models and the NOAA Extended Reconstructed SST V3b dataset (ERSST), the characteristics of different types of ENSO in the selected CMIP5 models, including cold-season-matured Eastern Pacific (C-EP) ENSO, warm-season-matured EP (W-EP) ENSO, cold-season-matured Central Pacific (C-CP) ENSO, and warm-season-matured CP (W-CP) ENSO, were examined in comparison with those in the ERSST dataset. The results showed that, in general, consistent with observations, EP ENSO events in most of the model runs were relatively much stronger than CP ENSO events, and cold-season-matured ENSO events were relatively much more frequent than warm-season-matured ENSO events for both EP and CP ENSO events. The composite amplitudes of ENSO events in most of the models were generally weaker than in observations, particularly for EP El Ni?o and CP La Ni?a. Moreover, most of the models successfully reproduced the amplitude asymmetries between El Ni?o and La Ni?a for cold-season-matured EP and CP ENSO events, exhibiting an average stronger/weaker EP El Ni?o/La Ni?a regime and a weaker/stronger CP El Ni?o/La Ni?a regime. Most of the models, however, failed to reproduce the observed regimes of stronger/weaker W-EP El Ni?o/La Ni?a and weaker/stronger W-CP El Ni?o/La Ni?a.
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Received: 29 May 2014
Revised: 27 June 2014
Accepted: 15 July 2014
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Corresponding Author:
Ren Rong-Cai
E-mail: rrc@lasg.iap.ac.cn
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